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Monday, 22 January 2018

Financial ratios

Overview
An alternative means of reporting performance
Identified more with finance than accounting
•       ratio analysis
Makes heavy use of accounting information
Represent performance using simple numbers
•       as a percentage
•       as a proportion (decimal)
•       as a single number

An open ended exercise - experimentation
All ratios computed in many different ways
Allow comparisons between operating units
•       overcome size differentials
Useful in identifying trends over time
•       health (or otherwise) trends
Require to be used with caution – interpretation

Categories of financial ratio
Text identifies 5 different categories
•       profitability
•       efficiency
•       liquidity
•       (financial) gearing
•       investment
A largely universal taxonomy

Profitability ratios
Accountants state profit as a number
Such a figure has relatively limited value
Takes no account of scale of operations
Profit serves as the numerator in a ratio
Various denominators can be identified
Can derive a ratio to use in comparisons
•       takes into account the scale of activity

ROCE
Return on Capital Employed
Seen as most fundamental profitability ratio
Compute operating profit against capital
What constitutes capital varies
•       share capital + reserves
•       non-current liabilities
A percentage will be determined

ROSF
Return on Shareholder Funds
•       strip out ‘other’ sources of funds
•       preference shares
Adjust profit for preference dividends
Why would you do this?
Because not all entities are funded the same
Any resulting return percentage becomes robust

OPM
Operating Profit Margin
View profit in terms of turnover
Compute operating profit and sales revenue
•       how much profit per £ of turnover
Express as a percentage
The Gross Profit Margin provides an alternative
Compute the gross profit against turnover
What would comparing these tell you?

Efficiency ratios
Efficiency of working capital management
Working capital viewed here as
•       stock and work in progress
•       debtors
•       creditors
Cash/bank/short term investments excluded
Provide interesting insights on (in)efficiencies

Stock turnover ratio
How long it takes you to move your stock
Many different variations on basic computation
•       cost of average stockholding
•       total cost of sales
Resultant decimal  multiplied by 365 – days
Over time turnover days has fallen
Why – high stock ties up your cash (and space)

Debtors’ turnover ratio
How long it takes to collect your debts
Similar variations in ratio
•       average level of outstanding debtors
•       total level of credit sales
Ratio again stated in terms of days
Too long to turnover is a problem
Loss of use of cash (overdraft charges)

Creditors’ turnover ratio
The complementary ratio
The number of days taken to pay creditors
•       average level of creditors
•       total credit purchases
An early sign of ill-health is a rising CTR
Deferring payments to trading partners
•       use them as cost free lenders of funds

Sales revenue ratios
Two are identified in the module text
•       sales revenue/capital employed
•       sales revenue/employee
The former tells you about use of assets
•       is this a good way to deploy your resources?
The latter tells you about employee effort
•       no comment………

ROCE again
ROCE can be viewed in a different way
Linking two key ratios
•       operating profit margin
•       sales revenue to capital
The sales revenue figure falls out to leave
•       operating profit to capital - ROCE
Basis for DuPont model of ratio analysis

Liquidity ratios
Probably the easiest to remember
Fortunately as these are two crucial ratios
Closely related to efficiency ratios
Again focus on working capital
Tells you something about immediate health
No liquidity, no business
Hence the situation of going into liquidation

Current ratio
Makes a comparison between
•       current assets
•       current liabilities
Capacity to meet short term financial obligations
Logically you should have a figure of 1+
Beyond this its all relative
The higher the better – not quite so easy?

Acid test ratio
Alternatively simple the quick ratio
A more refined numerator
•       basically cash/near cash  (not inventory)
Again reference to a desirable 1 ratio
In practice many successful companies fail test
Trust overrides a lack of liquidity
But when trust is diminished then problems

Gearing ratios
Refer to financial gearing
A technical term deriving from finance
Concerned with relationship between
•       borrowings or loans
•       equity or shareholder investment
With borrowings come financial commitments
Equity doesn’t bring these commitments
But if you have no more funds you borrow

In principle pretty simple
Compute the levels of
•       long term liabilities (loans)
•       equity + long term liabilities
Interpreting a specific level of gearing is complex
It very much depends on specifics
Increasing financial gearing is a worry generally

Interest cover ratio
Gearing commitments mean interest payments
•       bank loans and personal loans
•       preference shares
Legally required to cover these commitments
The ratio computes
•       interest payments
•       operating profit

Investment ratios
These have assumed increased significance
Of more interest/immediacy to shareholders
Inform them of the health of their investments
Provide a basis for moving funds
Although questionable if this actually occurs
•       institutional investors
•       investment advisors

Dividend payout ratio
How much is to be paid out as dividends
As a percentage of available earnings
Sometimes you might seek a high yield
Sometimes you want it to be low
•       retained earnings growth
•       storing up value for the future
A core topic within corporate finance theory

A variation on dividend payout ratio
A different denominator
•       (stock) market value
•       the ‘informed’ assessment of value of shares
This is a core topic for (some) accountants
•       relationship between market and book values
•       the intangibles panic of the mid/late 1990s

Earnings per share
This is almost an everyday idea nowadays!
Expresses health of an investment per share
Computes
•       earnings available to ordinary shareholders
•       number of ordinary shares
Strips out other complications, back to basics
Desirable to see the EPS on an upward trend

Price/earnings ratio
Often seen as the key indicator of health
Identifies EPS in terms of market value
Axiomatically high market value means health
Resultantly very high PE ratios are common
Also the self-fulfilling prophecy
•       high P/E ratio, greater demand for shares
•       higher market value

In summary
A few ratios can take you a long way
If only it was so easy…….
This is definitely not a mechanical exercise
A moment’s thought should tell you that
In practice analysts devise their own models
And obviously charge you for their expertise

Plus there is the whole informal side

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