It is expected that the TV ad revenues in the UK will
decline by 8% in October. This follows a 5% fall in TV ad revenues in
September. It is also predicted that this decline will continue in November
with the decline being at 7%. The comparisons have, however, been tainted by
the Rugby World Cup which ended in October 2015. This means that as the
comparisons show a decline in the 2016 figures, analyst must acknowledge that the
TV ad revenues of 2015 are likely to be higher than usual due to the effect of
the London Rugby World Cup. November has arguably been said to be the clean
month in which the base year was not under the influence of the Rugby World
Cup. But this view may not be accurate since the effect of the world cup would
normally be evident in the hosting country one man after the conclusion of the tournament.
But concerns about the Brexit having caused the decline in
ad revenues in TV are justified such comparisons have been made between the UK
and other European markets. Other markets are noted to be performing better
than the UK. This has led to fears that the Brexit will continue to hurt the
local market before the UK adjusts and adopts sound economic policies that will
reverse this pessimism. In fact, the Guardian estimates that as a result of the
Brexit, the TV ad market could shrink by about 2% in 2016 alone. This is a
significant percentage and ought to be a cause of concern for the industry
practitioners.
As the UK grapples with the effect of the Brexit, an issue
that needs to be highlighted is the influence of the political environment on strategic
management in business organisations. In this case, the industry players in the
TV ad industry are the organisations of concern. As a result of the Brexit
vote, the UK currency is reported to have plummeted. This forced organisations
to cut their advertisement budgets as they had to consider the impact of their
dwindling profits. Non-essential items in their budgets were seemingly cut off.
By the trend in the TV ad revenues, it is clear that organisations
consider marketing as one of the less important elements of strategic management.
Strategic marketers would argue that this is a strategic blunder for the
organisations in question. But the alternative explanation could be that in
order to cope with dwindling balance sheets, the organisations have opted to
rely on less expensive forms of marketing. The online marketing explosion could
be one of these beneficiaries. But on the whole, the overall marketing budgets
have reduced. The drop in revenues in TV ad revenues are not reflected in the
increase of revenues in online ad revenues. This justifies the assumption that
organisations consider marketing budgets as less essential expenses.
More importantly, the effect of Brexit demonstrates the
effect of political factors on the market and business enterprises. Brexit is
expected to continue causing uncertainty in the market. But as has been
observed in many previous studies, it is the organisations that manage to
sustain aggressive marketing that end up being more successful after the
uncertainty has been reduced. A study should be done to compare marketing
budget trends on the organisations that will emerge as the big winners after
the Brexit uncertainties are done away with.
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