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Monday, 22 January 2018

Financial ratios

Overview
An alternative means of reporting performance
Identified more with finance than accounting
       ratio analysis
Makes heavy use of accounting information
Represent performance using simple numbers
       as a percentage
       as a proportion (decimal)
       as a single number

An open ended exercise - experimentation
All ratios computed in many different ways
Allow comparisons between operating units
       overcome size differentials
Useful in identifying trends over time
       health (or otherwise) trends
Require to be used with caution – interpretation

Categories of financial ratio
Text identifies 5 different categories
       profitability
       efficiency
       liquidity
       (financial) gearing
       investment
A largely universal taxonomy

Profitability ratios
Accountants state profit as a number
Such a figure has relatively limited value
Takes no account of scale of operations
Profit serves as the numerator in a ratio
Various denominators can be identified
Can derive a ratio to use in comparisons
       takes into account the scale of activity

ROCE
Return on Capital Employed
Seen as most fundamental profitability ratio
Compute operating profit against capital
What constitutes capital varies
       share capital + reserves
       non-current liabilities
A percentage will be determined

ROSF
Return on Shareholder Funds
       strip out ‘other’ sources of funds
       preference shares
Adjust profit for preference dividends
Why would you do this?
Because not all entities are funded the same
Any resulting return percentage becomes robust

OPM
Operating Profit Margin
View profit in terms of turnover
Compute operating profit and sales revenue
       how much profit per £ of turnover
Express as a percentage
The Gross Profit Margin provides an alternative
Compute the gross profit against turnover
What would comparing these tell you?

Efficiency ratios
Efficiency of working capital management
Working capital viewed here as
       stock and work in progress
       debtors
       creditors
Cash/bank/short term investments excluded
Provide interesting insights on (in)efficiencies

Stock turnover ratio
How long it takes you to move your stock
Many different variations on basic computation
       cost of average stockholding
       total cost of sales
Resultant decimal  multiplied by 365 – days
Over time turnover days has fallen
Why – high stock ties up your cash (and space)

Debtors’ turnover ratio
How long it takes to collect your debts
Similar variations in ratio
       average level of outstanding debtors
       total level of credit sales
Ratio again stated in terms of days
Too long to turnover is a problem
Loss of use of cash (overdraft charges)

Creditors’ turnover ratio
The complementary ratio
The number of days taken to pay creditors
       average level of creditors
       total credit purchases
An early sign of ill-health is a rising CTR
Deferring payments to trading partners
       use them as cost free lenders of funds

Sales revenue ratios
Two are identified in the module text
       sales revenue/capital employed
       sales revenue/employee
The former tells you about use of assets
       is this a good way to deploy your resources?
The latter tells you about employee effort
       no comment………

ROCE again
ROCE can be viewed in a different way
Linking two key ratios
       operating profit margin
       sales revenue to capital
The sales revenue figure falls out to leave
       operating profit to capital - ROCE
Basis for DuPont model of ratio analysis

Liquidity ratios
Probably the easiest to remember
Fortunately as these are two crucial ratios
Closely related to efficiency ratios
Again focus on working capital
Tells you something about immediate health
No liquidity, no business
Hence the situation of going into liquidation

Current ratio
Makes a comparison between
       current assets
       current liabilities
Capacity to meet short term financial obligations
Logically you should have a figure of 1+
Beyond this its all relative
The higher the better – not quite so easy?

Acid test ratio
Alternatively simple the quick ratio
A more refined numerator
       basically cash/near cash  (not inventory)
Again reference to a desirable 1 ratio
In practice many successful companies fail test
Trust overrides a lack of liquidity
But when trust is diminished then problems

Gearing ratios
Refer to financial gearing
A technical term deriving from finance
Concerned with relationship between
       borrowings or loans
       equity or shareholder investment
With borrowings come financial commitments
Equity doesn’t bring these commitments
But if you have no more funds you borrow

In principle pretty simple
Compute the levels of
       long term liabilities (loans)
       equity + long term liabilities
Interpreting a specific level of gearing is complex
It very much depends on specifics
Increasing financial gearing is a worry generally

Interest cover ratio
Gearing commitments mean interest payments
       bank loans and personal loans
       preference shares
Legally required to cover these commitments
The ratio computes
       interest payments
       operating profit

Investment ratios
These have assumed increased significance
Of more interest/immediacy to shareholders
Inform them of the health of their investments
Provide a basis for moving funds
Although questionable if this actually occurs
       institutional investors
       investment advisors

Dividend payout ratio
How much is to be paid out as dividends
As a percentage of available earnings
Sometimes you might seek a high yield
Sometimes you want it to be low
       retained earnings growth
       storing up value for the future
A core topic within corporate finance theory

A variation on dividend payout ratio
A different denominator
       (stock) market value
       the ‘informed’ assessment of value of shares
This is a core topic for (some) accountants
       relationship between market and book values
       the intangibles panic of the mid/late 1990s

Earnings per share
This is almost an everyday idea nowadays!
Expresses health of an investment per share
Computes
       earnings available to ordinary shareholders
       number of ordinary shares
Strips out other complications, back to basics
Desirable to see the EPS on an upward trend

Price/earnings ratio
Often seen as the key indicator of health
Identifies EPS in terms of market value
Axiomatically high market value means health
Resultantly very high PE ratios are common
Also the self-fulfilling prophecy
       high P/E ratio, greater demand for shares
       higher market value

In summary
A few ratios can take you a long way
If only it was so easy…….
This is definitely not a mechanical exercise
A moment’s thought should tell you that
In practice analysts devise their own models
And obviously charge you for their expertise

Plus there is the whole informal side

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