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Monday, 19 June 2017

The European Emissions Trading Scheme - A Critical Appraisal

Introduction

The European Emissions Trading Scheme is a regulatory framework that was established to cut back on the level of emissions produced by industries. This framework is said to be the first cap-and-trade for carbon emissions. It is also known to be the largest carbon trading regime in the world.  This regulatory framework was formed in 2003 by the European Commission but launched in 2005 with the goal of achieving a 20% reduction of the 1990s level of emissions by 2020 (Lepon, Rahman and Yang, 2011). Under the framework, each of the countries under the EU jurisdiction is given a cap which limits the level of carbon emissions allowable. These carbon caps are then distributed to participating firms within the different countries and each organisation is provided with a limit for the same. Any emissions in excess of the allowable caps is taxed using a pricing model provided at the EU level with the being 25 euros per tonne (Park, 2013). The concept of using carbon credits brings the idea of environmental accountability to the organisation where they are by law forced to bear the cost of their negative impact on the environment. The carbon caps are due for review periodically depending on the conservation targets set.

Rationale for the emissions trading scheme

The rationale for the use of legislation to limit carbon emissions can be explained using the economic models of marginal costs. Carbon emissions have an adverse impact on the environment and they are a cost to the society (Freestone and Streck, 2009). Problems related to global warming and impact on acidity have the potential to erode some of the delicate ecosystems around the world such as the Polar Regions and the coral reefs in sections of oceans around the world (Trotignon, 2012). This is in addition to the possible problems on climate change that has the impact of undermining nature-based agriculture and rise in calamities such as drought and flooding. The costs of excessive carbon emissions are therefore high. On the other side of the equation is the consideration that pollution has associated benefits. These emissions are produced in the process of industrial production which brings benefits such as improvement of the quality of life and economic development. The cost/benefit considerations make it necessary to use the marginal cost curves to explain the rationale for imposing carbon credit on organisations.
Source: Krugman and Wells, 2006

The illustration above indicates that even though additional economic activity tends to increase profitability and welfare of the society, the marginal increase reduces with each additional unit of emission. On the other hand, the cost of pollution is on a constant rise. At the point of intersection (O) the optimum level is realised (Krugman and Wells, 2006). Additional output at beyond that level is more detrimental to the environment than the associated benefits can be. In other words, at the level, the cost to the society is very high.

The rationale for introducing carbon taxes is informed by the interplay between private and social costs. Even though the society benefits from economic activities, the investors benefit much more. It therefore follows that where the society is bearing the cost of carbon emissions, the investors should get taxed (Krugman and Wells, 2006). Observations are that even though investors appreciate the risk to the environment by their economic activities, they rarely take own initiative leaving the society to bear the entire cost (Kockar, 2011). Carbon taxes are introduced to introduce accountability at the level of each organisation to compel them to share the burden imposed on the society due to their economic activities.

The European ETS is the largest regulatory regime on carbon emissions and it is binding on the entire European region. Being the first regime of its kind, it has helped in entrenching the thought that the fight against atmospheric pollution must be addressed at the international level (Asli and Dömbekci, 2011). This is due to the fact that the atmosphere is borderless and the economic activities in one country can easily impact environmental in the neighbouring countries. In the application of this principle, the European Union has been proactively pushing to impose their regulatory frameworks in other countries with the latest landmark case being the ruling by the EC Court that it was within the framework of the EU ETS to demand compliance from the Chinese aviation industry (He and Gao, 2012). This led to threats of retaliation through trade disputes and accusations of disrespecting the sovereignty of other countries among other complaints. Nevertheless, the importance of international regulation is widely acknowledged and such complaints were only based on the lack of negotiation with the countries involved.

Appraisal of the European ETS

Even though the initial impact of the carbon credit regulations is an instant escalation of the cost of operation, various benefits can be associated with it. Theoretically, efforts to comply are often accompanied with measures to embrace more efficient technologies that emit less greenhouse gases (Chan, Li and Zhang, 2012). In the process of acquiring such technologies, the overall operation costs are lowered and the organisations are able to gain a competitive edge in the market. However, critics of this theory dismiss it as a myth and observe that there is no real impact on competitiveness. In a survey conducted in over 5,800 companies across 10 European countries, Chan, Li and Zhang (2012) established the fact that there was no significant change in the competitiveness of the organisations based on their efforts to comply with the European ETS. The findings on this aspect of sustainability have however been varied with most analysts holding the view that ultimately, long term consumer loyalty lies with the organisation that is seen as responsible and caring about the long term welfare of the society.

The test for good legislation can be examined under the frameworks of the five criteria that characterise good regulation: legislative mandate, accountability, due process, efficiency, and expertise (Baldwin, Cave and Lodge, 2012). The legislative backing for the carbon emissions is provided by the European Commission’s regulations on the Emissions Trading Scheme. This body is the highest decision making organ within the European region and its decisions are binding on the member states (Goers and Pflüglmayer, 2012). This is in addition to the localised laws that are legislated to reinforce or in conformity with the European ETS. This legislative backing gives the regulators the support needed to enforce the rules. The aspect of accountability describes to whom the regulatory authority reports to. The strength of the regulation is determined by the accountability mechanisms in place. The European Commission is the overall oversight body and is able to monitor and enforce the regulations through the regulation agencies that are accountable to it.

In due process, it is important that regulation enforces fairness and transparency at all times. Clarity in the manner in which the carbon emission caps are determined and how additional emissions are measured remains in question to date (Park, 2013). Many organisations decry the fact that governments exercise full control over these tools and their fairness is difficult to verify. The importance of due process is further brought into focus where it comes to consultations with selected companies over carbon caps to be imposed in a given year. This consultation often leads to information leak leading to insider trading before the caps are officially announced. They decry the fact that crucial information is not publicised to the whole market at the same time (Park, 2013). This especially occurs in cases where carbon caps are allocated through an auctioneering process. In this regard, the due process element needs to be strengthened for the regulatory regime to be more effective.

The element of expertise is also very crucial in that experts are expected to make decisions that are trusted to be accurate (Baldwin, Cave and Lodge, 2012). The application of expertise in regards to the ETS is in the regular course manifested in their ability to measure and communicate about the carbon emission levels in different industries as a measure of how subsequent allocations are to be done in future. For expert opinion to be regarded highly, elements of consistency and accuracy ought to be maintained. In other words, where two different approaches to measurement are to be used, they ought to produce the same results or have results whose variation is insignificant. This has however not been the case with the European ETS regulation. The two bodies charged with enforcement of the regulation (the European Environment Agency and the EU Transaction Log) have been providing conflicting figures hence leading to acrimony on which figures are to be used as the choice of either results is bound to impact on the welfare of the organisations (Trotignon, 2012).

Other than the criteria of good legislation as outlined above, there is the angle of the internationalisation of the regime. Proponents of internationalisation hold that the atmosphere is a shared resource and that pollution and its impact easily flows to other countries (Chan, Li and Zhang, 2012). For instance, predictions are that the developing countries are likely to be hit worst by effects of climate change. Based on this reasoning, there has been pressure on other countries to either adopt the European ETS or legislate and enforce rules that are similar to theirs. This pressure has come at the cost of the EU being criticised over apparent disrespect of other countries and having a unilateralist view in its views (Goers and Pflüglmayer, 2012). Nevertheless, a good regulation ought to be able to handle the problems targeted effectively and the push for an international approach to sustainability and pollution reduction is well founded. The weaknesses noticed from the assessment above can be remedied using measures shown below. 

Recommendations for overcoming weaknesses

Legitimacy is very important for the success of any regulation. If the European ETS is to be adopted in other parts of the world, its adoption should be done after due negotiations and consensus building. Actions that can be interpreted as being disrespectful are likely to lead to defiance and possible retaliatory measures. In regards to due process, the information on carbon credits must at all times be released in a manner that does not give undue advantage to any of the parties. Similarly, the process through which the carbon emissions are measured and carbon credits allocated should be demystified to ensure that there is transparency. This would inspire trust and procure public support for the regulatory regime. The same applies to coordination and the level of expertise exhibited. If more than one body is needed to enforce the regulation, there is need to enforce greater cooperation between the agencies. Besides, it may be advisable to separate roles to enable avoid duplication and contradictions that could erode public trust.

The regulatory regime just sets the minimum level of involvement required to protect the environment. The funds generated through carbon credits are used to implement environmental conservation initiatives. However, the organisations need not restrict their contribution to this. By failing to factor in cultural factors that can motivate greater involvement in conservation, the European ETS regulatory regime ignores a fundamental solution to the problem. Additional measures should be taken to proactively encourage people to consume from organisations whose record in promoting environmental sustainability is high. This would give the investors the economic motive for investing more in conservation.

Conclusion

The European Emissions Trading Scheme provides a sound basis for the promotion of conservation in the world by demanding great levels of accountability from the investors whose production initiatives are responsible for environmental degradation. The rationale for this regulation is founded on the economic principles of marginal returns where each additional unit of pollutant results in lower economic gain. This interplay continues to a level where the net effect of additional pollution is negative for the society and this forms the impetus for regulating against excessive pollution. Under the European ETS, the organisation is able to cover its costs of pollution by paying for any additional output above the determined curve. In general, the regulatory regime for regulating carbon emissions is a strong regulation. However, it needs to be improved marginally by pursuing effective internationalisation of the regime using measures that would not compromise legitimacy. It also needs to be improved in terms of due process and the reliability of the expert positions portrayed to guarantee certainty.


References

Asli, Y.M., Dömbekci, B., 2011. Emission trading applications in the European Union and the case of Turkey as an emerging market, International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 5(3), pp. 345-360
Baldwin, R., Cage, M., Lodge, M., 2012. Understanding regulation: theory, strategy and practice. 2nd Ed. Oxford: Oxford University Press
Chan, H.R., Li, S., Zhang, F., 2012. Firm Competitiveness and the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme. SSRN-id2167298
Freestone, D., Streck, C., 2009. Legal aspects of carbon trading: Kyoto, Copenhagen, and beyond. Oxford: Oxford University Press
Goers, S., Pflüglmayer, B., 2012. Post-Kyoto Global Emissions Trading: Perspectives for Linking National Emissions Trading Schemes with the EU ETS in a Bottom-Up Approach, Low Carbon Economy, 3(3A), pp. 69-79
He, L., Gao, Y., 2012. Including Aviation in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme: Impacts on Industries, Macro-economy and Emissions in China, International Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(12), pp. 91-97
Johnstone, R., 2004. Regulation: enforcement and compliance, Canberra, A.C.T.: Australian Institute of Criminology
Kockar, I., 2011. Generation scheduling with emissions trading scheme and transmission capacity constraints, International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 5(3), pp. 361-380
Krugman, P.R., Wells, R., 2006. Macroeconomics, New York: Worth Publishers
Lepone, A., Rahman, R.T., Yang, J., 2011. Young The Impact of European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) National Allocation Plans (NAP) on Carbon Markets, Low Carbon Economy, 2(2), pp. 71-90
Park, P.D., 2013. International law for energy and the environment. 2nd Ed. Boca Raton, FL CRC Press
Trotignon, R., 2012. Combining cap-and-trade with offsets: lessons from the EU-ETS. Climate Policy, 12(3), pp. 273-287

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