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Monday, 12 June 2017

Consumer Psychology Marketing

Manager-Researcher Relationship
       Manager’s obligations
      Specify problems
      Provide adequate background information
      Access to company information gatekeepers
       Researcher’s obligations
      Develop a creative research design
      Provide answers to important business questions
       Conflicts?
      Management’s limited exposure to research
      Manager sees researcher as threat to personal status
      Researcher has to consider corporate culture and political situations
      Researcher’s isolation from managers

Problem Definition
       Marketing research is usually requested by a manager. In order to ensure the research is appropriate and worthwhile, a researcher must make sure the problem or opportunity has been correctly defined.
       To achieve this, researchers should adopt an integrated problem definition process.
      Determine the decision maker’s purpose for the research
      Understand the complete problem situation
      Identify and separate out measurable symptoms within the problem situation
      Determine the appropriate unit of analysis
      Determine the relevant variables.
       Being able to correctly define and understand the actual decision problem is an important first step. A poorly defined decision problem can easily produce research results that are unlikely to have any value (e.g. Coca-Cola)
       A properly defined set of research questions are crucial. They identify variables, sets the study boundaries and guides the design.

Variables?
       Variables are things, things that vary. Generally things we want to measure
      Attitude
      Personality
      buying frequency
      brand awareness
      customer loyalty etc.

Types of Variables
       Independent / Predictor
       Dependent / Outcome
       Mediating
       Moderating
       Extraneous
       Independent & Dependent
       Leadership style & Employee performance or Job satisfaction
       Price of a product & Demand
       Independent
       Cause, Stimulus, Predictor, Antecedent
       Dependent
       Effect, Response, Criterion, Consequence           Mediating
      The effect of IV on to the DV is transmitted via MV
       Recall: Macro Env → Micro Env → Organisations
      Failure to account for MVs can have big impact
       Moderating
      The effect of the IV on the DV is dependent upon another variable.
       E.g. the effect of music type X on impulse purchases in moderated by personality trait Y (higher trait Y bigger the effect)
      Moderating variable is a second independent variable that has significant effect on the originally stated IV–DV relationship
       Extraneous
      Infinite number of extraneous variables (EV) exist that might effect the relationship
      Most of such variables have little or no effect on the given situation and these may be ignored
      Others may have highly random occurrence as to have little impact

Hypotheses
       Formulate hypotheses
      A statement concerning the predicted relationship between two or more variables e.g.
       X will be positively correlated with Y
       Group X will score significantly lower than group Y
       A good hypothesis will be specific and directly testable – operationalised!
      Increased work flexibility (e.g. flexi-time) will lead to an increase in job satisfaction
      Using packaging X will result in greater sales than packaging Y
       Null hypothesis: no relationship/difference/effect

The Role of the Hypothesis
       Guides the direction of the study
       Identifies facts that are relevant
       Suggests which form of research design is appropriate
       Provides a framework for organizing the conclusions that result

Conceptual Model
       Build a conceptual model
      A representation of the relationships between variables (hypotheses). This doesn’t necessarily have to be hugely complex.
      The importance of theory and a good model cannot be overstated – they are fundamental to good science. Theories guide your hypotheses and make logical sense of the relationships predicted and observed.

Research Designs
       Experimental
      IV manipulation, random allocation
       Quasi-experimental
      Either IV manipulation or random allocation
       Between Groups
       Repeated Measures
       Correlational
      Cross sectional; longitudinal; ex post facto
       Qualitative

True Experiment
       Randomly allocate participants to groups in which we manipulate the IV in order to observe the effect on the DV
       Whilst holding all other variables constant – therefore, can investigate in isolation the effect of the IV on the DV

Example: Bodem (1994)
       Aspirin tablets were given to two groups of students. Students were assigned to the groups at random
       One group was given aspirin from a branded packet. The other was given non-branded aspirin (control of the IV)
       Both types of tablet were the same size and strength (control of other variables)
       Students in the ‘branded’ group reported that aspirin had more powerful effects than did those in the ‘non-branded’ group

Measurement.
       Decide how best to operationalise (define and measure) your variables (based on lit. review)
       This step co-occurs with the previous step, if we can only measure variables in one-way (e.g. dichotomous variable, sex) then our hand is forced in terms of analysis and often design.
       Measurement error
       Discrepancy between observed measurement & ‘true’ score.
       Often we take multiple measures to help deal with this – if measurement error is normally distributed (which it should be, if not you have systematic error – this is not noise, likely a problem with measure e.g. always over-measures) then over the course of multiple measures this should “cancel itself out”
       Reliability: Consistency & Precision
       Internal consistency
       Do each of elements of the test relate? e.g. Cronbach’s alpha, item inter-correlation
       Split-half reliability
       Part 1 and Part 2 of test give same results? A form of internal consistency
       Equivalent forms reliability
       Similar to split half, but two separate forms of the test e.g. two independent item banks
       Test – retest reliability
       Stability and consistency over time
       Validity: Accuracy and utility of measurement
       Face validity
       Does it look right? Often items judged by subject matter ‘experts’ in terms of their relevance
       Content
       Does the test represent the entire range of possible items the test should cover?
       Convergent & Divergent
       Does the measure relate to other variables in a theoretically consistent manner
       Criterion
       Does the test relate to or predict meaningful real-world outcomes as it is theorised to do.
       So, when choosing measures, you must make sure that you choose the most RELIABLE and VALID measures that you can.
       What you measure and how accurately IS your study.
       If measurement is sub-optimal, your study will be too
       You cannot be sure that the findings you have are veridical (represent the ‘truth’) and as such the relevance of your study diminishes.
       This extends to qual. research too.


Primary Data Collection Methods
       Qualitative
      Interview
      focus group
      Unstructured observation (ethnography)
       Quantitative
      Survey
      Test (e.g. product preference)
      Structured observation (e.g. count X behaviour)
       There is no one right method of collecting data.
        Each has a purpose, advantages, and challenges.
        The goal is to obtain trustworthy, authentic, and credible evidence.
        Often, a mix of methods is preferable.

Culturally appropriate methods
       How appropriate is the method given the culture of the respondent/the setting?
       Culture/Group differences: national, ethnic, religious, regional, sex, age, abilities, economic status, sexual orientation, organizational culture

Things to consider:
       Literacy level: Tradition of reading, writing
       Translation (more than just literal translation)
       How cultural traits affect responses
       How to sequence the questions
       Need to have someone present
       Inter personal relationships/position of interviewer
      Politeness – responding to authority (thinking it’s unacceptable to say “no”), nodding, smiling, agreeing

Focus groups
Structured small group interviews
“Focused” in two ways:
      Persons being interviewed are similar in some way (e.g. limited resource families, family services professionals, or elected officials).
      Information on a particular topic is guided by a set of focused questions.
Focus groups are used...
       To solicit perceptions, views, and a range of opinions (not consensus)
       When you wish to probe an issue or theme in depth

Interviewing is…
       Talking and listening to people
       Verbally asking program participants the program evaluation questions and hearing the participant’s point of view in his or her own words. Interviews can be either structured or unstructured, in person or over the telephone.
       Done face-to-face or over the phone
       Individual; group

Interviews are useful…
       When interested in personal experience
      Recall: phenomenological
       When the subject is sensitive
       When people are likely to be inhibited in speaking about the topic in front of others
       When bringing a group of people together is difficult (e.g., in rural areas)
       When people have a low reading ability
      What are the advantages/disadvantages?
       Advantages       
       deep and free response
       flexible, adaptable
       glimpse into respondent’s tone, gestures
       ability to probe, follow-up
       Disadvantages
       costly in time and personnel
       requires skill
       may be difficult to summarize responses
       possible biases: interviewer, respondent, situation

Type: Structured interview
Structured
       Uses script and questionnaire
       No flexibility in wording or order of questions
       A verbal questionnaire
       Closed response option
       Open response option

Unstructured / Guided
       Outline of topics or issues to cover
       May vary wording or order of questions
       Topics or questions are not predetermined
       Fairly conversational and informal
       Questions emerge from the situation and what is said

Interviewing tips
       Keep language pitched to that of respondent
       Avoid long questions
       Create comfort
       Establish time frame for interview
       Avoid leading questions
       Sequence topics
       Be respectful
       Listen carefully

Survey / Questionnaire
       Best way to measure psychological characteristics that are difficult to observe and measure in other ways
      Personality, Attitudes
       Collect standardised information from large numbers of individuals
       When face-to-face meetings are inadvisable
      E.g. When privacy is important or independent opinions and responses are needed

Issues to consider in questionnaire design
       Sensitivity of questions
       Question bias
       Cultural issues
       Comprehensiveness
       Repetition – avoid redundancy at all costs
       Pilot-testing
       Respondent motivation
       Ease of completion
       Strengths and limitations?

Strengths
       Confirmed reliability and validity
       Can target large number of people
       Reach respondents in widely dispersed locations
       Can be relatively low cost in time and money
       Relatively easy to get information from people quickly
       Standardised questions
       Analysis can be straight-forward and responses pre-coded
       Low pressure for respondents
       Lack of interviewer bias

Limitations
       Low response rates can bias results
       Unsuitable for some people
      e.g. poor literacy, visually impaired, young children
       Question wording can have major effect on answers
       Misunderstandings cannot be corrected
       No opportunities to probe and develop answers
       Limited control: e.g. context and order
       No check on incomplete responses = Missing Data
       Can we trust self-reports? Socially desirable responding? Low self awareness?

Observation
When is observation useful?
       When you want direct information
       When you are trying to understand an ongoing behavior, process, unfolding situation, or event
       When there is physical evidence, products, or outcomes that can be readily seen
       When written or other data collection methods seem inappropriate
       Advantages and disadvantages?
       Advantages
       Most direct measure of behavior
       Provides direct information
       Easy to complete, saves time
       Can be used in natural or experimental settings
       Disadvantages
       May require training
       Observer’s presence may create artificial situation
       Potential for bias
       Potential to overlook meaningful aspects
       Potential for misinterpretation
       Difficult to analyze

Observation – Benefits
       Unobtrusive
       Inconspicuous – least potential for generating observer effects
       Can see things in their natural context
       Can see things that may escape conscious awareness, things that are not seen by others
       Can discover things no else has ever really paid attention to, things that are taken for granted
       Can learn about things people may be unwilling to talk about
       Can be creative –flexibility to yield insight into new realities or new ways of looking at old realities

Observation – Limitations
          Potential for bias
          Effect of culture on what you observe and interpret
          Only see the observable, no idea of underlying processes
          Usually you do not rely on observation alone; combine your observations with another method to provide a more thorough account of your program.
          Reliability
          Ease of categorization
          Ethical concerns?
          Gathering data anywhere – Invasion of privacy

Sampling
          Involves selecting a relatively small number of elements (sample) from a larger defined group (population) and expecting the information gathered from the small group will enable judgments about the larger group.
       Each sample will be unique. The goal is to achieve a sample that is as representative of your population as possible.
       Population? Sample?

Sampling Methods
Probability Sample:
      A sampling technique in which every member of the population will have a known, nonzero probability of being selected
Non-Probability Sample:
      Units of the sample are chosen on the basis of personal judgment or convenience
      There are NO statistical techniques for measuring random sampling error in a non-probability sample. Therefore, generalizability must be done cautiously and strictly speaking, is not statistically appropriate.
      Simple Random Sample
      Get a list or “sampling frame” This is the hard part! It must not systematically exclude anyone.
      Randomly select participants
Systematic Random Sample
      Select a random number, which will be known as k. Get a list of people, or observe a flow of people (e.g., shoppers in a supermarket). Select every kth person.
      Be careful that there is no systematic rhythm to the flow or list of people. If every kth person on the list is, say, “rich” or “senior” or some other consistent pattern, avoid this method – it is no longer random.
      Stratified Random Sample.
      Separate your population into groups or “strata”. Do either a simple random sample or systematic random sample from there
      You must know easily what the “strata” are before attempting this b. If your sampling frame is sorted by, say, school district, then you’re able to use this method
      Multi-stage Cluster Sample
      Get a list of “clusters,” e.g., branches of a company, market segments Randomly sample clusters from that list.
      Have a list of, say, 10 branches Randomly sample people within those branches This method is complex and expensive
      The Convenience Sample
      Find some people that are easy to find
      The Snowball Sample
      Find a few people that are relevant to your topic. Ask them to refer you to more relevant people.
      Purposive
      Targeting people for a specific reason – ‘high risk’ design. If you are interested in gambling, sample from a bookmaker or on-line casino.
      The Quota Sample
      Determine what the population looks like in terms of specific qualities. Create “quotas” based on those qualities. Select people for each quota.
      Choose an appropriate method of participant recruitment
      Random sampling is always preferred – due to principle of normal distribution, we should if large enough mitigate systematic bias. However, in reality, random sampling is almost always impossible – random allocation not so.
      Convenience, snowball and purposive samples are probably the most common
      Always make sure your sample is relevant, don’t use students if you’re interested in teachers!
      What size should your sample be?
      Size matters! Bigger is always better – but big does not compensate for bad. 10,000 students is still not a sample of teachers.

Analysis
       “Significance”
       The probability that we would obtain the result we have if the null hypothesis is true.
      Null = no relationship/difference/effect
       If the probability of obtaining our result is low (less that 5%) we say the result is significant i.e. is probably not a statistical fluke
       In addition to this, we need effect sizes – these tell us how large the relationship/difference/effect is and gives us an indication of its practical and decision making utility.
       The most common level used (in the behavioural sciences) to accept a result as significant is .05.
       .05 = the finding has a 95% chance of being real, or a 5% chance of being a statistical artefact. Also 95% probability that the Null Hypothesis can be rejected
       .01 = 99%
.001 = 99.9%

Tests of Differences
       T-test
      A test of two group differences
       ANOVA
      A test of multiple groups
       Factorial ANOVA
      1 DV, multiple IVs
       Repeated measures ANOVA
      Test and re-test e.g. drug effectives at week1, week2 month1

Tests of Relationships
       Correlation
      A relationship between 2 variables
      Range from +1 to -1
      Closer to either +/-1 the stronger the relationship
      +ve = As variable 1 increases so too does variable 2
      -ve = As variable 1 increases variable 2 decreases
       Regression
      The prediction of one variable from knowledge of one or more other variables

Qualitative
       Thematic Analysis
      Seek consistent ‘themes’ throughout an individual’s and across individuals’ data.
       Discourse Analysis
      Examining the use of language: e.g. how do they discuss a brand
       Interpretive Phenomenological Analysis
      All about the individuals’ experience

Discourse Analysis
JONATHAN:
       Nicola, Nicola, would you punch Jimmy for me just to show… because he was saying female boxers can’t hit hard earlier on.
       He actually said that to me. He seriously said there’s no way a female boxer could hurt him with a punch that’s what he actually said to me.

Secondary Data
       Data collected for a purpose other than the research situation at hand
       Advantages
      Cost and time
      Availability
      Less expensive
      Less time intensive
       Relevance:  may not match the data needs of a given project.
      Measurement units
      Differences in category definitions
      Time Period

New Methods
       On-line… Social media and “Big Data”
      Can be used for all traditional types of data collection too e.g. on-line focus group
       Eye-tracking

       Neuro methods

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