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Monday, 12 June 2017

Consumer Psychology Marketing

Manager-Researcher Relationship
•       Manager’s obligations
–      Specify problems
–      Provide adequate background information
–      Access to company information gatekeepers
•       Researcher’s obligations
–      Develop a creative research design
–      Provide answers to important business questions
•       Conflicts?
–      Management’s limited exposure to research
–      Manager sees researcher as threat to personal status
–      Researcher has to consider corporate culture and political situations
–      Researcher’s isolation from managers

Problem Definition
•       Marketing research is usually requested by a manager. In order to ensure the research is appropriate and worthwhile, a researcher must make sure the problem or opportunity has been correctly defined.
•       To achieve this, researchers should adopt an integrated problem definition process.
–      Determine the decision maker’s purpose for the research
–      Understand the complete problem situation
–      Identify and separate out measurable symptoms within the problem situation
–      Determine the appropriate unit of analysis
–      Determine the relevant variables.
•       Being able to correctly define and understand the actual decision problem is an important first step. A poorly defined decision problem can easily produce research results that are unlikely to have any value (e.g. Coca-Cola)
•       A properly defined set of research questions are crucial. They identify variables, sets the study boundaries and guides the design.

Variables?
•       Variables are things, things that vary. Generally things we want to measure
–      Attitude
–      Personality
–      buying frequency
–      brand awareness
–      customer loyalty etc.

Types of Variables
•       Independent / Predictor
•       Dependent / Outcome
•       Mediating
•       Moderating
•       Extraneous
•       Independent & Dependent
•       Leadership style & Employee performance or Job satisfaction
•       Price of a product & Demand
•       Independent
•       Cause, Stimulus, Predictor, Antecedent
•       Dependent
•       Effect, Response, Criterion, Consequence           Mediating
–      The effect of IV on to the DV is transmitted via MV
•       Recall: Macro Env → Micro Env → Organisations
–      Failure to account for MVs can have big impact
•       Moderating
–      The effect of the IV on the DV is dependent upon another variable.
•       E.g. the effect of music type X on impulse purchases in moderated by personality trait Y (higher trait Y bigger the effect)
–      Moderating variable is a second independent variable that has significant effect on the originally stated IV–DV relationship
•       Extraneous
–      Infinite number of extraneous variables (EV) exist that might effect the relationship
–      Most of such variables have little or no effect on the given situation and these may be ignored
–      Others may have highly random occurrence as to have little impact

Hypotheses
•       Formulate hypotheses
–      A statement concerning the predicted relationship between two or more variables e.g.
•       X will be positively correlated with Y
•       Group X will score significantly lower than group Y
•       A good hypothesis will be specific and directly testable – operationalised!
–      Increased work flexibility (e.g. flexi-time) will lead to an increase in job satisfaction
–      Using packaging X will result in greater sales than packaging Y
•       Null hypothesis: no relationship/difference/effect

The Role of the Hypothesis
•       Guides the direction of the study
•       Identifies facts that are relevant
•       Suggests which form of research design is appropriate
•       Provides a framework for organizing the conclusions that result

Conceptual Model
•       Build a conceptual model
–      A representation of the relationships between variables (hypotheses). This doesn’t necessarily have to be hugely complex.
–      The importance of theory and a good model cannot be overstated – they are fundamental to good science. Theories guide your hypotheses and make logical sense of the relationships predicted and observed.

Research Designs
•       Experimental
–      IV manipulation, random allocation
•       Quasi-experimental
–      Either IV manipulation or random allocation
•       Between Groups
•       Repeated Measures
•       Correlational
–      Cross sectional; longitudinal; ex post facto
•       Qualitative

True Experiment
•       Randomly allocate participants to groups in which we manipulate the IV in order to observe the effect on the DV
•       Whilst holding all other variables constant – therefore, can investigate in isolation the effect of the IV on the DV

Example: Bodem (1994)
•       Aspirin tablets were given to two groups of students. Students were assigned to the groups at random
•       One group was given aspirin from a branded packet. The other was given non-branded aspirin (control of the IV)
•       Both types of tablet were the same size and strength (control of other variables)
•       Students in the ‘branded’ group reported that aspirin had more powerful effects than did those in the ‘non-branded’ group

Measurement.
•       Decide how best to operationalise (define and measure) your variables (based on lit. review)
•       This step co-occurs with the previous step, if we can only measure variables in one-way (e.g. dichotomous variable, sex) then our hand is forced in terms of analysis and often design.
•       Measurement error
•       Discrepancy between observed measurement & ‘true’ score.
•       Often we take multiple measures to help deal with this – if measurement error is normally distributed (which it should be, if not you have systematic error – this is not noise, likely a problem with measure e.g. always over-measures) then over the course of multiple measures this should “cancel itself out”
•       Reliability: Consistency & Precision
•       Internal consistency
•       Do each of elements of the test relate? e.g. Cronbach’s alpha, item inter-correlation
•       Split-half reliability
•       Part 1 and Part 2 of test give same results? A form of internal consistency
•       Equivalent forms reliability
•       Similar to split half, but two separate forms of the test e.g. two independent item banks
•       Test – retest reliability
•       Stability and consistency over time
•       Validity: Accuracy and utility of measurement
•       Face validity
•       Does it look right? Often items judged by subject matter ‘experts’ in terms of their relevance
•       Content
•       Does the test represent the entire range of possible items the test should cover?
•       Convergent & Divergent
•       Does the measure relate to other variables in a theoretically consistent manner
•       Criterion
•       Does the test relate to or predict meaningful real-world outcomes as it is theorised to do.
•       So, when choosing measures, you must make sure that you choose the most RELIABLE and VALID measures that you can.
•       What you measure and how accurately IS your study.
•       If measurement is sub-optimal, your study will be too
•       You cannot be sure that the findings you have are veridical (represent the ‘truth’) and as such the relevance of your study diminishes.
•       This extends to qual. research too.


Primary Data Collection Methods
•       Qualitative
–      Interview
–      focus group
–      Unstructured observation (ethnography)
•       Quantitative
–      Survey
–      Test (e.g. product preference)
–      Structured observation (e.g. count X behaviour)
•       There is no one right method of collecting data.
•        Each has a purpose, advantages, and challenges.
•        The goal is to obtain trustworthy, authentic, and credible evidence.
•        Often, a mix of methods is preferable.

Culturally appropriate methods
•       How appropriate is the method given the culture of the respondent/the setting?
•       Culture/Group differences: national, ethnic, religious, regional, sex, age, abilities, economic status, sexual orientation, organizational culture

Things to consider:
•       Literacy level: Tradition of reading, writing
•       Translation (more than just literal translation)
•       How cultural traits affect responses
•       How to sequence the questions
•       Need to have someone present
•       Inter personal relationships/position of interviewer
–      Politeness – responding to authority (thinking it’s unacceptable to say “no”), nodding, smiling, agreeing

Focus groups
Structured small group interviews
“Focused” in two ways:
–      Persons being interviewed are similar in some way (e.g. limited resource families, family services professionals, or elected officials).
–      Information on a particular topic is guided by a set of focused questions.
Focus groups are used...
•       To solicit perceptions, views, and a range of opinions (not consensus)
•       When you wish to probe an issue or theme in depth

Interviewing is…
•       Talking and listening to people
•       Verbally asking program participants the program evaluation questions and hearing the participant’s point of view in his or her own words. Interviews can be either structured or unstructured, in person or over the telephone.
•       Done face-to-face or over the phone
•       Individual; group

Interviews are useful…
•       When interested in personal experience
–      Recall: phenomenological
•       When the subject is sensitive
•       When people are likely to be inhibited in speaking about the topic in front of others
•       When bringing a group of people together is difficult (e.g., in rural areas)
•       When people have a low reading ability
–      What are the advantages/disadvantages?
•       Advantages       
•       deep and free response
•       flexible, adaptable
•       glimpse into respondent’s tone, gestures
•       ability to probe, follow-up
•       Disadvantages
•       costly in time and personnel
•       requires skill
•       may be difficult to summarize responses
•       possible biases: interviewer, respondent, situation

Type: Structured interview
Structured
•       Uses script and questionnaire
•       No flexibility in wording or order of questions
•       A verbal questionnaire
•       Closed response option
•       Open response option

Unstructured / Guided
•       Outline of topics or issues to cover
•       May vary wording or order of questions
•       Topics or questions are not predetermined
•       Fairly conversational and informal
•       Questions emerge from the situation and what is said

Interviewing tips
•       Keep language pitched to that of respondent
•       Avoid long questions
•       Create comfort
•       Establish time frame for interview
•       Avoid leading questions
•       Sequence topics
•       Be respectful
•       Listen carefully

Survey / Questionnaire
•       Best way to measure psychological characteristics that are difficult to observe and measure in other ways
–      Personality, Attitudes
•       Collect standardised information from large numbers of individuals
•       When face-to-face meetings are inadvisable
–      E.g. When privacy is important or independent opinions and responses are needed

Issues to consider in questionnaire design
•       Sensitivity of questions
•       Question bias
•       Cultural issues
•       Comprehensiveness
•       Repetition – avoid redundancy at all costs
•       Pilot-testing
•       Respondent motivation
•       Ease of completion
•       Strengths and limitations?

Strengths
•       Confirmed reliability and validity
•       Can target large number of people
•       Reach respondents in widely dispersed locations
•       Can be relatively low cost in time and money
•       Relatively easy to get information from people quickly
•       Standardised questions
•       Analysis can be straight-forward and responses pre-coded
•       Low pressure for respondents
•       Lack of interviewer bias

Limitations
•       Low response rates can bias results
•       Unsuitable for some people
–      e.g. poor literacy, visually impaired, young children
•       Question wording can have major effect on answers
•       Misunderstandings cannot be corrected
•       No opportunities to probe and develop answers
•       Limited control: e.g. context and order
•       No check on incomplete responses = Missing Data
•       Can we trust self-reports? Socially desirable responding? Low self awareness?

Observation
When is observation useful?
•       When you want direct information
•       When you are trying to understand an ongoing behavior, process, unfolding situation, or event
•       When there is physical evidence, products, or outcomes that can be readily seen
•       When written or other data collection methods seem inappropriate
•       Advantages and disadvantages?
•       Advantages
•       Most direct measure of behavior
•       Provides direct information
•       Easy to complete, saves time
•       Can be used in natural or experimental settings
•       Disadvantages
•       May require training
•       Observer’s presence may create artificial situation
•       Potential for bias
•       Potential to overlook meaningful aspects
•       Potential for misinterpretation
•       Difficult to analyze

Observation – Benefits
•       Unobtrusive
•       Inconspicuous – least potential for generating observer effects
•       Can see things in their natural context
•       Can see things that may escape conscious awareness, things that are not seen by others
•       Can discover things no else has ever really paid attention to, things that are taken for granted
•       Can learn about things people may be unwilling to talk about
•       Can be creative –flexibility to yield insight into new realities or new ways of looking at old realities

Observation – Limitations
•          Potential for bias
•          Effect of culture on what you observe and interpret
•          Only see the observable, no idea of underlying processes
•          Usually you do not rely on observation alone; combine your observations with another method to provide a more thorough account of your program.
•          Reliability
•          Ease of categorization
•          Ethical concerns?
•          Gathering data anywhere – Invasion of privacy

Sampling
•          Involves selecting a relatively small number of elements (sample) from a larger defined group (population) and expecting the information gathered from the small group will enable judgments about the larger group.
•       Each sample will be unique. The goal is to achieve a sample that is as representative of your population as possible.
•       Population? Sample?

Sampling Methods
Probability Sample:
–      A sampling technique in which every member of the population will have a known, nonzero probability of being selected
Non-Probability Sample:
–      Units of the sample are chosen on the basis of personal judgment or convenience
–      There are NO statistical techniques for measuring random sampling error in a non-probability sample. Therefore, generalizability must be done cautiously and strictly speaking, is not statistically appropriate.
–      Simple Random Sample
–      Get a list or “sampling frame” This is the hard part! It must not systematically exclude anyone.
–      Randomly select participants
Systematic Random Sample
–      Select a random number, which will be known as k. Get a list of people, or observe a flow of people (e.g., shoppers in a supermarket). Select every kth person.
–      Be careful that there is no systematic rhythm to the flow or list of people. If every kth person on the list is, say, “rich” or “senior” or some other consistent pattern, avoid this method – it is no longer random.
–      Stratified Random Sample.
–      Separate your population into groups or “strata”. Do either a simple random sample or systematic random sample from there
–      You must know easily what the “strata” are before attempting this b. If your sampling frame is sorted by, say, school district, then you’re able to use this method
–      Multi-stage Cluster Sample
–      Get a list of “clusters,” e.g., branches of a company, market segments Randomly sample clusters from that list.
–      Have a list of, say, 10 branches Randomly sample people within those branches This method is complex and expensive
–      The Convenience Sample
–      Find some people that are easy to find
–      The Snowball Sample
–      Find a few people that are relevant to your topic. Ask them to refer you to more relevant people.
–      Purposive
–      Targeting people for a specific reason – ‘high risk’ design. If you are interested in gambling, sample from a bookmaker or on-line casino.
–      The Quota Sample
–      Determine what the population looks like in terms of specific qualities. Create “quotas” based on those qualities. Select people for each quota.
–      Choose an appropriate method of participant recruitment
–      Random sampling is always preferred – due to principle of normal distribution, we should if large enough mitigate systematic bias. However, in reality, random sampling is almost always impossible – random allocation not so.
–      Convenience, snowball and purposive samples are probably the most common
–      Always make sure your sample is relevant, don’t use students if you’re interested in teachers!
–      What size should your sample be?
–      Size matters! Bigger is always better – but big does not compensate for bad. 10,000 students is still not a sample of teachers.

Analysis
•       “Significance”
•       The probability that we would obtain the result we have if the null hypothesis is true.
–      Null = no relationship/difference/effect
•       If the probability of obtaining our result is low (less that 5%) we say the result is significant i.e. is probably not a statistical fluke
•       In addition to this, we need effect sizes – these tell us how large the relationship/difference/effect is and gives us an indication of its practical and decision making utility.
•       The most common level used (in the behavioural sciences) to accept a result as significant is .05.
•       .05 = the finding has a 95% chance of being real, or a 5% chance of being a statistical artefact. Also 95% probability that the Null Hypothesis can be rejected
•       .01 = 99%
.001 = 99.9%

Tests of Differences
•       T-test
–      A test of two group differences
•       ANOVA
–      A test of multiple groups
•       Factorial ANOVA
–      1 DV, multiple IVs
•       Repeated measures ANOVA
–      Test and re-test e.g. drug effectives at week1, week2 month1

Tests of Relationships
•       Correlation
–      A relationship between 2 variables
–      Range from +1 to -1
–      Closer to either +/-1 the stronger the relationship
–      +ve = As variable 1 increases so too does variable 2
–      -ve = As variable 1 increases variable 2 decreases
•       Regression
–      The prediction of one variable from knowledge of one or more other variables

Qualitative
•       Thematic Analysis
–      Seek consistent ‘themes’ throughout an individual’s and across individuals’ data.
•       Discourse Analysis
–      Examining the use of language: e.g. how do they discuss a brand
•       Interpretive Phenomenological Analysis
–      All about the individuals’ experience

Discourse Analysis
JONATHAN:
•       Nicola, Nicola, would you punch Jimmy for me just to show… because he was saying female boxers can’t hit hard earlier on.
•       He actually said that to me. He seriously said there’s no way a female boxer could hurt him with a punch that’s what he actually said to me.

Secondary Data
•       Data collected for a purpose other than the research situation at hand
•       Advantages
–      Cost and time
–      Availability
–      Less expensive
–      Less time intensive
•       Relevance:  may not match the data needs of a given project.
–      Measurement units
–      Differences in category definitions
–      Time Period

New Methods
•       On-line… Social media and “Big Data”
–      Can be used for all traditional types of data collection too e.g. on-line focus group
•       Eye-tracking

•       Neuro methods

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